Surplus Rice and Positive Monsoon Forecast Spark Optimism for Indian Rice Exports


Published Date: May 29, 2024
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Indian rice exporters have a reason to be optimistic because the government might lift the rice export restrictions imposed last year. This possible change in policy is due to a large surplus of rice and a positive monsoon forecast, which is expected to increase paddy planting.

So this article is for you if you are looking to Export Rice In Bulk . It will provide you with latest updates on the future prospects selling rice from India with respect to the probable lift on export restrictions. So, let us get started. 
 


Government's Reassessment of Kharif Paddy Sowing

The government is set to evaluate the sowing of kharif paddy, which will begin next month, before deciding on lifting the export restrictions. Officials suggest that the favourable prospects for the kharif crop, which accounts for 80% of India’s total rice output, might lead to a removal of these curbs. An official stated, "We need to look at lifting restrictions on rice shipments as kharif crop prospects look bright." This definitely is a positive sign for rice exporters looking to explore the opportunities in the global b2b market. 

Positive Monsoon Forecast

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted 'above normal' rainfall for June-September this year, with a 90% chance of rains being in the "normal-to-excess" range. This is a significant improvement from last year’s patchy and below-normal rainfall, which had negatively impacted rice production. Again, if things remain in the positive direction then exporters can again look forward to export rice in bulk globally. 

Abundant Rice Stocks

India's rice stocks, held by the Food Corporation of India (FCI), are currently robust, standing at nearly four times the buffer requirement for July 1. Despite a 7% decline in procurement this season, FCI holds 53.19 million tonnes (MT) of rice, well above the buffer of 13.54 MT needed for July 1.

Inflation in Rice Prices

Retail rice prices have risen by 12.69% year-on-year in March, but this increase is expected to soften due to the higher base effect. Rice price inflation has remained in double digits since October 2022, but the anticipated bountiful monsoon may help stabilise prices.

Background on Export Restrictions

Last year, the government imposed a ban on white rice exports and a 20% duty on parboiled rice to ensure sufficient domestic supplies amid rising prices. Despite these restrictions, India allowed some rice exports to meet the food security needs of specific countries
 


India's Strong Export Performance

India has been the world's largest rice exporter since 2012, holding over a 40% share in the global trade of 52-54 MT annually. In the fiscal year 2023, India exported a record 22 MT of rice to over 100 countries. However, due to export restrictions, the volume dropped to around 16 MT last fiscal year.

Conclusion

With promising monsoon forecasts and abundant rice stocks, the Indian government is likely to reconsider the export restrictions. This potential policy change could boost the prospects for Indian Rice Exporters, providing them with a brighter and more prosperous future.

Platforms like Tradologie.com play a crucial role in facilitating export of bulk rice and other agro commodities. Tradologie.com connects buyers and sellers through its next-generation SaaS online platform, ensuring transparency and efficiency in transactions. 

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